S. L. Joslyn and J. E. LeClerc.
Uncertainty Forecasts Improve Weather-Related Decisions and Attenuate the Effects of Forecast Error.
In Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, vol. 18, no. 1, pp. 126--140, 2012.

Bibtex:

@Article{        joslyn:2012:UFID,
  author =       {S. L. Joslyn and J. E. LeClerc},
  title =        {Uncertainty Forecasts Improve Weather-Related
                  Decisions and Attenuate the Effects of Forecast
                  Error},
  journal =      {Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied},
  volume =       {18},
  number =       {1},
  pages =        {126--140},
  year =         {2012},
}